About this Market

This market addresses the potential for a United States federal government shutdown occurring in December 2026. A government shutdown typically happens when Congress fails to pass appropriation bills or a continuing resolution to fund government operations for the upcoming fiscal year or a specified period. Such an event can lead to the suspension of non-essential government services, furloughing of federal employees, and disruptions across various sectors. The outcome of this market depends on whether a lapse in appropriations results in a shutdown of federal government functions at any point during December 2026. Participants should consider the political climate, legislative calendar, and historical precedents when evaluating the likelihood of a shutdown.